![]() During Lewis Hamilton’s stretch of dominance from 2014 to 2020, Mercedes won all but three races three times.īut an F1 season sweep? Unheard of. No F1 team has ever won every grand prix in a season. Here are (at least) three things we’ll keep an eye on even as Verstappen wraps up the title race.Ī non-Red Bull win. I’m not ruling anything out! Wear sunscreen. Patrick’s note: It’s an enormous nuclear fusion fireball. It doesn’t seem like the sun thing is possible. (The sun thing is always possible.) Editor’s note: Did some research. Unless, of course, he doesn’t win the championship this year! I suppose it’s also possible the sun could explode at any given moment. If Verstappen wins in Singapore, Japan, and Qatar - even if Pérez’s right behind him every step - he takes the championship. Let’s say Verstappen wins the Qatar GP and its sprint race, and Pérez finishes second in both:Īnd that’s the ballgame. That’s an awfully narrow margin of error. If Pérez finishes second in Singapore and Japan and Verstappen wins both, the gap between them would be 161 points, with a remaining Verstappenimum of 180. It’s more likely that Verstappen keeps winning, but Pérez keeps taking second. However, Pérez is unlikely to score zero points in the next two races. ![]() That’s a 197-point gap - more than the 180 points Perez could get by running the table for the rest of the season. To figure out how soon Verstappen could lock up the championship, let’s assume he keeps winning (with the extra point for fastest lap), and Pérez (the only realistic challenger, and “realistic” is, uh, generous) finishes outside the points.Īfter Japan, Verstappen would have 416 points to Perez’s 219. Given Verstappen’s points haul, only Lewis Hamilton, Fernando Alonso, and Sergio Perez still have a mathematical shot. The most points anyone can get from here on out are 232 (that’s 26 points for winning a GP and getting fastest lap, plus eight points for each of the three remaining sprint races). ![]() So, when can Verstappen claim his third world championship? Let’s do some math. ![]()
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